BREAKING NEWS: Exit Polls Show Darron Pickstock Dominating Golden Isles By-Election

Golden Isles, Nassau — As voters continue to cast their ballots in the by-election for the Golden Isles constituency, early exit-polling data indicates that the Progressive Liberal Party (PLP) candidate Darron Pickstock holds a commanding lead, capturing 58% of the vote share among surveyed respondents. According to the same dataset, the Free National Movement (FNM) candidate currently stands at 18%, while the remaining 24% of respondents fall into the “Other” category, which includes undecided voters, unpolled individuals, and supporters of third-party or independent candidates.

These early numbers reflect a snapshot of voter sentiment collected during the morning and early afternoon. While informative, they are not official results and must be interpreted cautiously. Polls remain open, and final certified outcomes will be released once the full count is completed.

Strong Early Showing for Pickstock

Field observers at several polling stations report that Pickstock is performing particularly well in areas historically favouring the PLP. Voters who indicated support for him cited his visible presence in the community, frequent canvassing, and clear message of continuity and development. Many described his campaign as offering a tangible connection with local issues and neighbourhood infrastructure improvements.

FNM Support Present but Limited in Early Sample

The FNM’s share of 18% among surveyed voters reflects early support, but observers caution that the opposition’s base may skew toward later-day turnout, which could shift the dynamics as voting continues. Nonetheless, the gap between Pickstock and the FNM candidate is substantial in the sample so far.

The 24% Unaligned: A Wildcard

The significant portion of the electorate—approximately 24% of respondents—is classified as “Other” (undecided, unpolled or third-party). This group remains fluid and may play a decisive role depending on how many actually turn out, how their votes distribute, and whether late-day voting patterns emerge differently than the early sample.

Turnout Appears Below Expectations

While comprehensive official turnout figures are not yet available, observers at polling stations and political campaign teams alike indicate that turnout is lower than anticipated. One local political report noted that rally attendance in recent weeks has been underwhelming, raising concerns about voter mobilisation. With reduced engagement, election-day turnout could become a critical factor affecting final results, particularly if one campaign is more successful in mobilising its base.

Momentum Reflects Advance Polling Trends

The exit-poll trends mirror indications from earlier advance polling, where Pickstock’s campaign appeared to have a strong organisation and visible supporter base. The consistency across both advance and election-day data suggests that Pickstock entered the contest with meaningful momentum.

Caution Advised as Voting Continues

Despite the favourable early position for Pickstock, analysts stress that exit-polling remains indicative rather than definitive. Variability in late turnout, the distribution of undecided voters, and the potential for last-minute shifts all mean that the final counted result may differ from current sentiment.

Looking Ahead

With polling stations still open and ballots yet to be counted, both the PLP and FNM are intensifying efforts to rally voters through the remaining hours. If current patterns hold, Darron Pickstock appears to be leading decisively. However, the official outcome will be confirmed only after election officials release the certified tally.

Polls remain open, and these numbers are not official results — but they provide the clearest signal yet of how the race is shaping up on the ground.

This is a developing story.

Stay with us for continuous updates as more exit polling becomes available and as we approach the official count later tonight.

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